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During volatile periods — especially when war or major geopolitical events are driving the markets — I’ve found that traditional patterns can flip on you fast.
For the past several weeks, Mondays have behaved like run days and Tuesdays have turned choppy. That’s the opposite of what we normally see.
When the rhythm you rely on gets turned upside down, you need tools that give you clarity fast. For me, that tool is the ADD indicator. It measures advancing stocks versus declining stocks across the market and shows whether money is broadly flowing in or out.
Because the data updates in real time, it offers one of the quickest reads on whether conditions favor momentum or range-bound trading.
The First 10 Minutes Tell the Story
Every morning within the first 10 minutes of the open, I watch the ADD to determine whether we’re in for a run day or a chop day. Anything over 900 in either direction is trending and over 1,100 is a strong trend. Keep in mind this works both ways, so positive is bullish and negative is bearish.
This matters even more now. War-driven volatility has flipped Monday and Tuesday behavior for weeks. Last week was an exception, but before that the pattern held consistently.
At the same time, sectors tied to manufacturing and exports are especially sensitive, with new manufacturing and pricing data adding more pressure. When global tensions rise, manufacturing and industrial names often feel it first, which can influence breadth and spill into broader sentiment.
The ADD helps cut through that noise.
Do Not Let FOMO or Panic Drive Decisions
When volatility spikes and headlines get loud, emotions can take over fast. This is exactly when you must stay grounded. This is not a time for panic, and it is not a time for FOMO. Emotional trades are expensive trades. Consolidation days are part of the cycle, whether they land on Monday or Tuesday.
Discipline matters. The ADD provides an objective read so you can focus on what price is telling you rather than what your emotions want you to do. It keeps you aligned with what is actually happening in the market — not what you think should be happening.
So tomorrow morning, before placing a single trade, check the ADD in those first 10 minutes. Let it guide your plan and keep you disciplined. It’s one of the quickest ways to gain an edge right out of the gate.
I hope that helps!
Roger Scott
Roger Scott Trading
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