Timing the Market Just Got Easier With This Seasonal Strategy

by Roger Scott | Jun 16, 2025

Ever notice how certain stocks seem to move in predictable patterns at specific times of the year? That’s not just coincidence — it’s seasonality at work, and it’s one of the most underused tools in the average trader’s arsenal.

I’ve got to tell you, after decades in the markets, seasonal patterns have become one of my most reliable edge-creators when properly applied.

What Exactly Is Seasonality?

Simply put, seasonality refers to predictable, calendar-based patterns that affect specific sectors and stocks. Think about it — retail stocks surge during holiday shopping seasons, energy consumption changes with the weather, and certain sectors consistently outperform during particular months.

For example, the Utilities sector (XLU) often experiences a downturn during specific periods of the year. By recognizing these patterns ahead of time, you can position yourself to either avoid losses or capitalize on the moves.

Here’s the thing — these patterns aren’t random. They’re based on fundamental economic, environmental, and behavioral factors that repeat with remarkable consistency year after year.

Turning Seasonal Knowledge Into Profits

The real magic happens when you combine seasonal analysis with technical confirmation. I never make trades based solely on seasonal trends — that would be like driving with only half the map.

Instead, I look for technical signals that confirm what the seasonal pattern is suggesting. When these align, that’s when probability tilts heavily in your favor.

For instance, if I know technology stocks historically perform well in early summer, I don’t blindly buy. I wait for technical indicators to confirm the seasonal pattern is playing out as expected.

Look, I’m not claiming seasonality is some magical crystal ball. Markets can and do behave unpredictably. But having this additional layer of analysis gives you a significant advantage over traders who are essentially guessing.

What I love most about this approach is how it helps remove emotion from trading decisions. When you understand that a sector like Consumer Staples (XLP) or Energy (XLE) tends to follow specific patterns, you’re less likely to panic during expected downturns or get overly excited during predictable upswings.

Want to see this strategy in action? I’m putting together a special workshop next week where I’ll demonstrate exactly how I use seasonality to identify high-probability trade setups across multiple market sectors.

The market gives us these seasonal gifts year after year — isn’t it time you unwrapped them?

I hope that helps!

Roger Scott
Roger Scott Trading

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