How I’m Navigating Nvidia Earnings Week

by Roger Scott | Aug 25, 2026

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We’ve got the biggest earnings catalyst of the week staring us down in the king of chip stocks, Nvidia (NVDA).

But this isn’t happening in isolation…

Wednesday brings personal income, GDP, durable goods and NVDA earnings, creating a packed macroeconomic backdrop that could amplify volatility across the market.

Options pricing points to an expected move of just over 6%. That’s the kind of volatility that creates opportunity but also serious risk if you’re not positioned correctly. Understanding that range is critical when sizing positions and managing exposure around the report.

Nvidia also remains at the center of the AI boom. Its results and guidance can influence sentiment across semiconductors, technology stocks and the broader AI trade. That strategic position matters beyond one quarter, even if the stock faces sharp short-term swings.

Price Hikes and Broader Market Pressure

Nvidia has reportedly informed some of its biggest customers that AI server prices will increase by more than 15%. That’s not a minor adjustment — it’s a development that raises questions about the sustainability of AI spending as surging hardware costs pressure companies making massive investments.

Are we approaching peak pricing power? Is demand strong enough to absorb these increases? Those are legitimate questions the market will need to answer.

We’re also seeing weakness in Asian chip stocks, with Samsung, Alibaba falling more and SoftBank sliding.

Interest rate uncertainty could also intensify the reaction. Futures are pricing roughly a 61% chance of no rate hike, while the probability of a hike remains near 40%. That divide shows how unsettled sentiment is. A shift in rate expectations could affect growth-stock valuations and either reinforce or offset Nvidia’s post-earnings move.

Historical Patterns You Can’t Ignore

The stock slid after its last three quarterly reports despite delivering upbeat results. That points to a potential “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic, or suggests expectations have simply become difficult to exceed.

Beyond Nvidia, we’re watching Salesforce (CRM), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Intuit (INTU), Dollar General (DG) and Dollar Tree (DLTR). But make no mistake — Nvidia is the main event.

The key is preparation. Know the expected move, understand the macro backdrop, respect the historical pattern and don’t let emotion drive your decisions. This is about trading smart, not trading hopeful.

I hope that helps!

Roger Scott
Roger Scott Trading

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