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Your 2025 Market Survival Plan: 3 Steps to Beat the Choppiness Ahead

by | Dec 31, 2024

LIVE AT 2:30 PM ET: MY VERY FIRST TRADE OF 2025 — AND MY PLAN FOR MAKING THE BEST OF IT!

Good morning and Happy New Year’s Day! 

As we prepare to close the books on 2024, it’s a good time to reflect on what’s been an extraordinary year for the markets and set the stage for what we might expect in 2025. 

I thought today would be the perfect day to send you a link to my 2024 wrapup and 2025 lookahead video I just posted on my YouTube channel. 

We’ll cover: 

📈 2024 Market Performance — The S&P 500 outpaced expectations, driven largely by the Magnificent 7 stocks, while equal-weight indices like RSP lagged, showing underlying market fragility.

📉 Late-Year Weakness — The rally hit turbulence in December, with corrections leading to lower highs and lows. Key support levels — such as the MA50 and MA200 — are under pressure across several indices.

🏦 Fed’s Policy Shift — The Fed scaled back its 2025 rate cut projections from six to one, pulling momentum from the markets and leaving uncertainty about future moves.

📊 Holiday-Driven Choppiness — December’s low-volume trading is extending into January, with multiple short weeks and market closures keeping volatility elevated.

💼 Fund Manager Activity — Year-end window dressing propped up key stocks in December, but January could bring selling pressure, especially for top performers, as managers free up cash.

📉 Risks for Early 2025 — The combination of weak consumer credit, risks of a recession in 2025 or 2026, and reduced confidence could create downside pressure in the coming weeks.

🛠️ Trading Strategy — With so many risks in play, I’m focusing on a balanced approach in 2025. Expect more puts than we saw in 2024 as we navigate a potentially volatile start to the year.

While 2024 was an incredible year for gains, 2025 will likely be different. Choppiness, cautious positioning, and key decision points at major technical levels will define the early months. Let’s stay nimble and keep an eye on developing trends as we move into the new year.

Wishing you and your family a safe and joyful New Year’s celebration. Let’s make 2025 a year of smart trading and success!

Kane Shieh
Kane Shieh Trading

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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

WRITTEN BY<br>Kane Shieh

WRITTEN BY
Kane Shieh

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