🚨 I’ll be live at 1:30 p.m. ET 🚨
With the market pushing to all-time highs again and again, we’re finally seeing things take a much-needed breather today. We’ll cover why this price action could be here to stay for the next week or so, how you can play it and more [tap to join us for Stonkamania]!
You know things have gotten wild when even guys like me — with all the access in the world — are getting squeezed. For years, companies would not go public, couldn’t go public, or they were scared to go public, so they stayed private.
That created a massive bottleneck, and now the dam is bursting all at once.
I’ve been watching the IPO market closely as we come up on SpaceX’s blockbuster, as we’ve discussed a lot around here, and what’s happening right now is unlike anything I’ve seen.
Companies that stayed private far longer than they wanted are now starving to get out there. Institutional money is lined up around the block, licking its lips, ready to throw capital at anything with a ticker.
It’s full capitalism, and the market loves it — but it’s also the kind of environment where it’s easy to see why people say it’s one big Ponzi out there. Speculation and rapid money-changing are the name of the game.
The New Rules of the Game
The pace is insane. I get allocations on the best pre-IPO companies, and if I don’t respond within five minutes of getting the email, I lose access. Five minutes — that’s the window.
And these aren’t cheap opportunities. For every $1 million I put in, they’re charging me $250,000 off the top in fees. Even that doesn’t slow many people down because demand is so intense that terms have become a mere afterthought.
I am privileged, whatever you want to call it. It’s not fair, but I get deals because I’ve been in the game a long time. Most of these opportunities are reserved for qualified purchasers — investors with at least $5 million in liquid assets. That means the vast majority of people are never getting anywhere near these rooms, let alone these deals.
The market mechanics are shifting with the frenzy. Companies can now be included in major indexes in just 14 days instead of the months it used to take. The IPO market has been handcuffed for years, but now that the lock is off, the feeding frenzy is unlike anything we’ve seen.
What This Means for OpenAI, SpaceX and the Next Wave
When giants like OpenAI, Anthropic and SpaceX finally go public, I don’t think we see normal IPO behavior. I think one or even more of these names could double on their first day of trading.
Historically, IPOs like Facebook retraced, but as I’ve argued, I think it’s gonna double that day — it’s not gonna be like the good old Facebook, or even, like, the Reddit IPOs.
Look at Reddit (RDDT). The stock went from about $40 to a massive early surge before pulling back, then climbing again. That kind of explosive appetite is a preview of what may come.
The difference now is simple: This market has been starved. The moment companies can list, they will, and when they do, there will be more capital chasing them than ever before.
It’s a free-for-all, and the early money is going to win big. Be careful out there.
Order Flow:
This is for informational and educational purposes only. These are not official alerts issued by Lance, but rather some interesting orders picked by the team at Lance Ippolito Trading.
When you look at these plays, always take the market maker move into consideration.
You can be right on the direction but still lose money if the stock doesn’t move enough. That’s where the market maker move comes in clutch.
With puts, they’re often downside hedges in case a stock tanks, especially around earnings. The further out of the money they are, the more likely they are to be hedges.
Also be sure and check when the company’s earnings date is because many of the plays we post here are centered around earnings!
If a stock is really expensive, consider a spread to lower the cost.
And finally, always remember the golden rule when it comes to buying calls: Buy dips, sell rips — and don’t chase!
If a stock’s moved a ton already today, maybe wait for a pullback.
There is inherent risk in trading. Trade at your own risk.
Note: If no date is listed after the month, it’s the monthly expiration (third Friday).
The team at Lance Ippolito Trading
Lance doesn’t want the CCP spying on him, so you’ll never find him on TikTok. Same goes for other social media sites, which are filled with impersonators, scammers and crypto bros.
You can only find him on his personal YouTube Channel — smash that Subscribe button! https://www.youtube.com/@LanceIppolito
And in his private Telegram channel: https://t.me/+-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx
Important Note: No one from the team at Lance Ippolito Trading, New Money Crew or any of its associated brands will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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