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The market’s been ripping higher lately — but not every rally is built to last. And one of the stocks I’m looking at right now for a potential breakdown is Lyft (LYFT).
Lyft’s had a nice move higher alongside a lot of other high-beta stocks. That’s what happens when risk appetite surges — names like Lyft, Tilray (TLRY) and SuperMicro (SMCI) catch a bid.
But just because something rallies with the broader market doesn’t mean the fundamentals suddenly changed. In Lyft’s case, they haven’t. This is still a company with big competitive pressures, a history of underwhelming earnings, and no clear catalyst for sustainable growth.
That’s why I’ve been building a bigger put position ahead of earnings. I’m already in with about a 20-lot (so 20 contracts), but if the stock keeps drifting higher into the report, I’ll keep layering in more puts.
Ideally, I’d like to get it up to a 100-lot position before earnings hit.
A High-Risk Rally Means Better Reward on the Downside
In a market like this, where everybody’s rushing into anything that’s moved up 20% or more, the opportunities are setting up on the other side. Lyft’s recent strength looks like pure beta-chasing to me — not a reflection of anything fundamentally changing at the company.
The higher Lyft drifts into earnings, the better the setup. If the report misses or even just shows more of the same struggles, there’s a good shot the stock snaps back hard.
And with the options priced the way they are, the potential reward on the downside is too good to ignore.
You can bet the hedge funds and professional traders are watching the same thing. This isn’t a new story — it’s a replay of the same market psychology we see every earnings season. I’m just positioning early while the crowd is still busy chasing what already moved.
If the market hands you an edge, you take it. Lyft looks like it’s handing one out right now — so I’m going to keep swinging until earnings tell the real story.
Some of the more recent put orders that capture LYFT’s report on May 8 are listed below. Keep in mind that puts can always be hedges against a long position in case it tanks on earnings — the further out of the money, the more suspicious.
Order Flow:
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. These are not official alerts issued by Lance, but rather some interesting orders picked by the team at Lance Ippolito Trading.
When you look at these plays, always take the market maker move into consideration.
You can be right on the direction but still lose money if the stock doesn’t move enough. That’s where the market maker move comes in clutch.
With puts, they’re often downside hedges in case a stock tanks, especially around earnings. The further out of the money they are, the more likely they are to be hedges.
Also be sure and check when the company’s earnings date is because many of the plays we post here are centered around earnings!
There is inherent risk in trading. Trade at your own risk.
Note: If no date is listed after the month, it’s the monthly expiration (third Friday).
The team at Lance Ippolito Trading
Lance doesn’t want the CCP spying on him, so you’ll never find him on TikTok. Same goes for other social media sites, which are filled with impersonators, scammers and crypto bros.
You can only find him on his personal YouTube Channel — smash that Subscribe button! https://www.youtube.com/@LanceIppolito
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Important Note: No one from The TradingPub team or any of its associated brands will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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The profits and performance shown are not typical, we make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. From 2/20/25 to 4/15/25, the average win rate on live published trade alerts is 96.4%. The average weighted rate of return on options trades was 29% over a six hour hold time.
